Grand Theft Auto 6 (GTA 6) remains one of the most eagerly awaited video games, and optimism about its release date has recently increased. According to reports, the likelihood that GTA 6 will launch on its scheduled date—May 26, 2026—has risen to around 60% following the latest earnings call by Take-Two Interactive, Rockstar Games’ parent company.

Take-Two’s Confirmation and Development Status
During the earnings call in early August 2025, Take-Two shared official documents confirming that GTA 6 is still on track for the planned release date. The company reported that the game’s development continues as scheduled, with no changes or delays announced. This marks an important reassurance after prior delays pushed the release from autumn 2025 to spring 2026.

This confirmation highlights that development is moving ahead in full force, and Rockstar Games is dedicating extensive resources to polish and complete the game. However, industry insiders warn that with a game of this scale, final delivery can still be subject to change until closer to launch.

Why the 60% Probability?
Kalshi, a platform known for tracking event probabilities based on market and insider data, has increased the probability for an on-time GTA 6 release to 60%. This figure suggests a more positive outlook compared to earlier estimates that factored in potential delays. The raised confidence comes from:

- Official documentation by Take-Two reaffirming development progress

- Positive investor sentiment from the earnings call

- No contradictory signals from Rockstar or Take-Two about further postponements

Still, a 60% chance means there remains some uncertainty, reflecting the volatile nature of game development and Rockstar’s historical delays in previous projects like Red Dead Redemption 2.

What This Means for Fans and Investors
For players, this update offers hope that GTA 6 will deliver as promised in less than a year, allowing them to plan eagerly for what is expected to be a massive gaming event. In the meantime, enjoying cheap gta 5 modded accounts keeps the hype alive. For Take-Two and investors, GTA 6 represents a critical revenue driver with projections of record-breaking sales and long-term online engagement.

While the 60% probability is encouraging and Take-Two’s official remarks indicate a stable development pipeline, the game industry’s inherent unpredictability means cautious optimism is warranted. Fans can anticipate GTA 6 on May 26, 2026, but should be prepared for last-minute changes if Rockstar needs more time to perfect this landmark title.